
U.S. Navy (Shannon Renfroe)
Autonomy, Strategy, and the Limits of an Unmanned Fleet
Without careful consideration of the limits of robotics, the Navy risks building brittle uncrewed platforms and falling short of its uncrewed objectives.
By Lieutenant Commander John Li, U.S. Navy = September 2026 – Proceedings – Vol. 152/9/1,483
The U.S. Navy stands on the cusp of a profound transformation. Confronted by a resurgent China and a growing U.S.-China naval imbalance, the service has placed robotic and autonomous systems at the center of its warfighting vision. This effort, which began as a conceptual shift toward a hybrid fleet, has since been translated into an actionable roadmap through the Chief of Naval Operations’ Hedge Strategy to scale combat mass and absorb operational risk.1 Yet this approach relies on a singular, fundamentally fragile assumption: that unmanned systems will mature with the speed and reliability of digital technologies such as microprocessors.
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